DANIEL ESPINO

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

DANIEL

ESPINO

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam55%99 mph

Slider38%93 mph

Matchup

VS MIN LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

70

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

2.70

WHIP

1.30

K%

42%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	29%	25%
SwStr%	15.5%	11%
Chase%	30%	28%
xwOBA-a	.257	.315
Barrel%-a	10%	8%
HardHit%-a	30%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.2

K/GM

1.3

IP/GM

0.00

ERA

1.05

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

42% season K rate

Contact Suppression

10% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 9 starts

0 of 9 starts over

Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 41% K

2

2

1

2

2

3

3

2

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs MIN—

Tonight's Park

HR

+7%

Hits

+1%

2B

+10%

3B

+10%

K

+7%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

12 311°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+22%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 8:54 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.