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MLB / Research
Daniel Lynch IV
Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.86 · WHIP 1.26 · K 13% · 11 starts
DANIEL LYNCH IV
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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DANIEL LYNCH
IV
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS HOU LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.86
WHIP
1.26
K%
13%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 10% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 4.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 27% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .358 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 42% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.2
K/GM
4.5
IP/GM
4.37
ERA
1.19
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
13% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 42% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
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Model Prob
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Fair Odds
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EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.37 ERA · 12% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs HOU—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
86°
Wind
5 80°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-15%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 1:22 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.