DANIEL LYNCH IV

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

DANIEL LYNCH

IV

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Pitch-mix data not available.

Matchup

VS CHC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

78

Great

projected lineup

VS

ERA

0.00

WHIP

0.73

K%

10%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	19%	25%
SwStr%	9.4%	11%
Chase%	36%	28%
xwOBA-a	.316	.315
Barrel%-a	7%	8%
HardHit%-a	41%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

0.2

K/GM

0.9

IP/GM

0.00

ERA

0.86

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

10% season K rate

Contact Suppression

7% barrel · 41% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 6% K

1

1

1

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHC—

Tonight's Park

HR

-15%

Hits

+5%

2B

+16%

3B

+76%

K

-12%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

81°

Wind

8 150°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 11:24 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.