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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Daniel Schneemann

Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

MG Score
28
F

Tonight's Matchup

5
Matchup
Avoid
vs Cam Schlittler · RHP · 94.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.34
WHIP
0.89
K%
27%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.6
89.2
Barrel%
2.0%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
30%
38%
xwOBA
.294
.307
xSLG
.392
.418
Whiff%
22%
17%
Chase%
31%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Cam Schlittler.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
84.6
Barrel%
2.0%
Hard Hit%
30%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.294
xSLG
0.392

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
52%
12/23 games
AVG
.143
OBP
.211
SLG
.171
OPS
.382
HR
0
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/30Boston Red Sox3000020
5/29Boston Red Sox3100000
5/27Washington Nationals3100100
5/26Washington Nationals3000010
5/24Philadelphia Phillies3100110
5/23Philadelphia Phillies3000020
5/21Detroit Tigers3101110
5/20Detroit Tigers5100010
5/19Detroit Tigers4000000
5/17Cincinnati Reds5000030

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Daniel Schneemann
Cleveland Guardians · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.2 mph
Avg LA
12.9°
Hard-hit %
37%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (82 balls)
Home Run
4
Triple
0
Double
7
Single
20
Out
51
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.