Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Dansby Swanson
Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
MG Score
36
F
Tonight's Matchup
24
Matchup
Avoid
vs Gage Jump · 91.5 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
7.20
WHIP
2.00
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.5
92.5
Barrel%
4.8%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
37%
39%
xwOBA
.249
.352
xSLG
.354
.485
Whiff%
31%
24%
Chase%
28%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Gage Jump.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.5
Barrel%
4.8%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
17%
xwOBA
0.249
xSLG
0.354
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
43%
9/21 games
AVG
.125
OBP
.263
SLG
.156
OPS
.419
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | St. Louis Cardinals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Houston Astros | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Dansby Swanson
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.3 mph
Avg LA
14.6°
Hard-hit %
46%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
6Triple
1Double
4Single
13Out
76Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.