Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
DANSBY SWANSON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Dansby Swanson
DANSBY
SWANSON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo87.2Barrel%0%Hard Hit%0%xwOBA.264Sweet Spot%0%Whiff%18%Chase%25%
Matchup
VS Nick Lodolo · LHP
89.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
50
Average
VS
ERA
4.68
WHIP
1.46
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo87.289.9
Barrel%0%15%
Hard Hit%0%47%
xwOBA.264.446
xSLG.328.685
Whiff%18%21%
Chase%25%29%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.2 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Lodolo2
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
4 194°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:14 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game