Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Darell Hernaiz
Athletics · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
MG Score
35
F
Tonight's Matchup
vs Jameson Taillon · RHP · 87.0 mph avg
ERA
5.76
WHIP
1.25
K%
18%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.5
87.4
Barrel%
5.8%
20.0%
Hard Hit%
27%
40%
xwOBA
.287
.424
xSLG
.371
.697
Whiff%
22%
26%
Chase%
33%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jameson Taillon.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.5
Barrel%
5.8%
Hard Hit%
27%
Sweet Spot%
33%
xwOBA
0.287
xSLG
0.371
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
58%
11/19 games
Last 30
58%
11/19 games
AVG
.233
OBP
.324
SLG
.300
OPS
.624
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | New York Yankees | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | New York Yankees | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | San Diego Padres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/20 | Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Darell Hernaiz
Athletics · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.8 mph
Avg LA
13.8°
Hard-hit %
25%
Barrel %
4%
Outcomes (67 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
0Double
3Single
19Out
44Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.