Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
DASHAWN KEIRSEY JR.
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
DASHAWN KEIRSEY
JR.
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Janson Junk · RHP
87.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
57
VS
ERA
3.79
WHIP
1.26
K%
14%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.8 | 88.8 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 12% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 34% |
| xwOBA | .917 | .357 |
| xSLG | 1.111 | .517 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 14% |
| Chase% | 100% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Junk—
Tonight's Park
HR
-7%
Hits
+5%
2B
+8%
3B
+6%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 5:00 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game