Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Daulton Varsho
Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves
MG Score
52
C-
Tonight's Matchup
42
Matchup
Tough matchup
vs Bryce Elder · RHP · 90.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.16
WHIP
1.05
K%
21%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.9
87.3
Barrel%
8.2%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
44%
50%
xwOBA
.358
.414
xSLG
.482
.520
Whiff%
17%
6%
Chase%
35%
22%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Bryce Elder: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.9
Barrel%
8.2%
Hard Hit%
44%
Sweet Spot%
42%
xwOBA
0.358
xSLG
0.482
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
64%
16/25 games
AVG
.184
OBP
.279
SLG
.316
OPS
.595
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Baltimore Orioles | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/21 | New York Yankees | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Daulton Varsho
Toronto Blue Jays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.4 mph
Avg LA
13.2°
Hard-hit %
42%
Barrel %
20%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
1Double
8Single
20Out
66Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.