DAVIS MARTIN

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

DAVIS

MARTIN

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam35%93 mph

Sinker19%92 mph

Curveball17%81 mph

Matchup

VS HOU LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

24

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

6.23

WHIP

1.59

K%

14%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	16%	25%
SwStr%	7.4%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.505	.315
Barrel%-a	17%	8%
HardHit%-a	43%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.8

K/GM

3.8

IP/GM

9.95

ERA

1.63

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

14% season K rate

Contact Suppression

17% barrel · 43% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 9.95 ERA · 16% K

4

3

2

5

3

6

1

1

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs HOU—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

0%

2B

-4%

3B

-14%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

85°

Wind

12 145°

Rain

18%

HR Adj

-4%

K Adj

-0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:02 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.