Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
DAVIS SCHNEIDER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
DAVIS
SCHNEIDER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Nick Lodolo · LHP
89.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
71
VS
ERA
5.59
WHIP
1.50
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.7 | 88.7 |
| Barrel% | 20% | 14% |
| Hard Hit% | 60% | 44% |
| xwOBA | .373 | .392 |
| xSLG | .620 | .603 |
| Whiff% | 28% | 18% |
| Chase% | 24% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.7 avg EV · 20.0% barrel · 60% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Lodolo—
Tonight's Park
HR
0%
Hits
-2%
2B
+9%
3B
-31%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:09 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game