Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Derek Hill
Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
MG Score
33
F
Tonight's Matchup
57
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Connor Prielipp · LHP · 89.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.48
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.8
86.7
Barrel%
14.3%
13.3%
Hard Hit%
38%
40%
xwOBA
.386
.380
xSLG
.624
.548
Whiff%
33%
17%
Chase%
34%
33%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Connor Prielipp: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
1
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.8
Barrel%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
38%
Sweet Spot%
29%
xwOBA
0.386
xSLG
0.624
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
35%
7/20 games
Last 30
37%
11/30 games
AVG
.176
OBP
.222
SLG
.235
OPS
.458
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/29 | Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | San Francisco Giants | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Seattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/17 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Derek Hill
Chicago White Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.4 mph
Avg LA
12.5°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (35 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
1Single
8Out
23Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.