Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Dillon Dingler
Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
MG Score
70
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Steven Matz · LHP · 86.6 mph avg
ERA
5.48
WHIP
1.43
K%
14%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.8
88.9
Barrel%
17.9%
28.6%
Hard Hit%
46%
50%
xwOBA
.475
.560
xSLG
.733
.796
Whiff%
24%
11%
Chase%
33%
25%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Steven Matz: 1 PA · Low sample
AB
1
AVG
.100
OPS
2.000
HR
0
H
1
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.8
Barrel%
17.9%
Hard Hit%
46%
Sweet Spot%
42%
xwOBA
0.475
xSLG
0.733
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
48%
11/23 games
AVG
.243
OBP
.349
SLG
.649
OPS
.997
HR
4
RBI
8
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Dillon Dingler
Detroit Tigers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.9 mph
Avg LA
17.0°
Hard-hit %
55%
Barrel %
26%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
10Triple
0Double
10Single
14Out
66Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

