Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Dominic Canzone
Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
MG Score
69
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Jonah Tong · 91.3 mph avg
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.9
88.6
Barrel%
20.0%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
43%
43%
xwOBA
.395
.363
xSLG
.615
.606
Whiff%
30%
18%
Chase%
28%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jonah Tong.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.9
Barrel%
20.0%
Hard Hit%
43%
Sweet Spot%
33%
xwOBA
0.395
xSLG
0.615
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
42%
10/24 games
AVG
.259
OBP
.286
SLG
.704
OPS
.989
HR
3
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | New York Mets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Athletics | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Kansas City Royals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Dominic Canzone
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
93.1 mph
Avg LA
16.1°
Hard-hit %
47%
Barrel %
23%
Outcomes (81 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
8Single
14Out
55Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.