Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Dylan Crews
Washington Nationals · Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
MG Score
45
D
Tonight's Matchup
82
Matchup
Strong matchup
vs Lake Bachar · RHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
91.6
98.9
Barrel%
5.9%
25.0%
Hard Hit%
41%
75%
xwOBA
.326
.556
xSLG
.469
.918
Whiff%
21%
41%
Chase%
43%
35%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Lake Bachar: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
91.6
Barrel%
5.9%
Hard Hit%
41%
Sweet Spot%
29%
xwOBA
0.326
xSLG
0.469
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
67%
20/30 games
AVG
.216
OBP
.237
SLG
.324
OPS
.561
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | San Diego Padres | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Cleveland Guardians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Atlanta Braves | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/21 | New York Mets | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | New York Mets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Dylan Crews
Washington Nationals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.4 mph
Avg LA
12.0°
Hard-hit %
33%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (9 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
1Single
2Out
6Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.