Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
EDMUNDO SOSA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
EDMUNDO
SOSA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
63
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Martín Pérez · LHP
85.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
73
VS
ERA
3.12
WHIP
1.35
K%
15%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.6 | 86.5 |
| Barrel% | 22% | 4% |
| Hard Hit% | 35% | 40% |
| xwOBA | .494 | .356 |
| xSLG | .740 | .475 |
| Whiff% | 32% | 21% |
| Chase% | 40% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.6 avg EV · 21.7% barrel · 35% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Pérez0
Tonight's Park
HR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
9 309°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:20 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game