Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
EDMUNDO SOSA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
EDMUNDO
SOSA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
42
Grade D
Matchup
VS Justin Wrobleski · LHP
91.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
65
VS
ERA
3.50
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.2 | 87.3 |
| Barrel% | 13% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 44% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .420 | .382 |
| xSLG | .629 | .536 |
| Whiff% | 22% | 23% |
| Chase% | 55% | 42% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.2 avg EV · 12.5% barrel · 44% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Wrobleski—
Tonight's Park
HR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
73°
Wind
6 256°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+4%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:13 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game