Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Eduardo Rodriguez
Arizona Diamondbacks · Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.16 · WHIP 1.21 · K 19% · 10 starts
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
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H
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EDUARDO
RODRIGUEZ
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam40%92 mph
Changeup25%85 mph
Cutter17%89 mph
Curveball11%80 mph
Sinker7%91 mph
Matchup
VS CHC LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.16
WHIP
1.21
K%
19%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 36% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .329 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 7% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 29% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.6
K/GM
5.7
IP/GM
2.86
ERA
1.09
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
19% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.86 ERA · 24% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHC—
Tonight's Park
HR
-14%
Hits
+6%
2B
+16%
3B
+89%
K
-6%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:42 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.