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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds

MG Score
63
C+

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
93.3
Barrel%
18.6%
Hard Hit%
53%
Sweet Spot%
44%
xwOBA
0.475
xSLG
0.692

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
65%
15/23 games
AVG
.154
OBP
.214
SLG
.282
OPS
.496
HR
0
RBI
3
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Atlanta Braves2200101
5/30Atlanta Braves4100010
5/29Atlanta Braves4000030
5/27New York Mets4000010
5/26New York Mets5202020
5/25New York Mets5000040
5/23St. Louis Cardinals4000000
5/20Philadelphia Phillies5000030
5/19Philadelphia Phillies3101120
5/18Philadelphia Phillies3000110

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Elly De La Cruz
Cincinnati Reds · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
94.8 mph
Avg LA
13.3°
Hard-hit %
55%
Barrel %
24%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
8
Triple
0
Double
11
Single
28
Out
53
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.