ELMER RODRÍGUEZ

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ELMER

RODRÍGUEZ

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker56%97 mph

Curveball25%79 mph

Matchup

VS LAA LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

45

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.70

WHIP

1.52

K%

15%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	30%	25%
SwStr%	12.5%	11%
Chase%	33%	28%
xwOBA-a	.394	.315
Barrel%-a	21%	8%
HardHit%-a	43%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.2

K/GM

4.6

IP/GM

4.70

ERA

1.52

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

15% season K rate

Contact Suppression

21% barrel · 43% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 4.70 ERA · 15% K

3

2

1

4

6

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs LAA—

Tonight's Park

HR

+13%

Hits

-2%

2B

-13%

3B

-3%

K

+5%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

74°

Wind

9 221°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+12%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 11:52 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.