Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Emerson Hancock
Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.97 · WHIP 1.31 · K 20% · 11 starts
EMERSON HANCOCK
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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EMERSON
HANCOCK
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam41%95 mph
Sinker23%95 mph
Curveball10%76 mph
Cutter10%87 mph
Sweeper10%77 mph
Changeup5%86 mph
Matchup
VS TOR LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.97
WHIP
1.31
K%
20%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 20% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .295 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 8% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 35% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.8
K/GM
5.7
IP/GM
4.76
ERA
1.52
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
20% season K rate
Contact Suppression
8% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.76 ERA · 19% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TOR—
Tonight's Park
HR
0%
Hits
-2%
2B
+9%
3B
-31%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:41 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.