Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ernie Clement
Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves
MG Score
41
D
Tonight's Matchup
22
Matchup
Avoid
vs Bryce Elder · RHP · 90.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.16
WHIP
1.05
K%
21%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.2
87.3
Barrel%
6.8%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
24%
50%
xwOBA
.297
.414
xSLG
.417
.520
Whiff%
13%
6%
Chase%
47%
22%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Bryce Elder.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.2
Barrel%
6.8%
Hard Hit%
24%
Sweet Spot%
32%
xwOBA
0.297
xSLG
0.417
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
90%
9/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
73%
19/26 games
AVG
.316
OBP
.333
SLG
.553
OPS
.886
HR
2
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Ernie Clement
Toronto Blue Jays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.6 mph
Avg LA
17.1°
Hard-hit %
24%
Barrel %
9%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
11Single
21Out
65Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.