ETHAN PECKO

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ETHAN

PECKO

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Pitch-mix data not available.

Matchup

VS NYY LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

47

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.91

WHIP

1.64

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	25%	25%
SwStr%	11.2%	11%
Chase%	36%	28%
xwOBA-a	.260	.315
Barrel%-a	0%	8%
HardHit%-a	20%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

3.7

IP/GM

4.91

ERA

1.64

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

0% barrel · 20% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 1 starts

0 of 1 starts over

Last 5: 4.91 ERA · 22% K

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs NYY—

Tonight's Park

HR

+25%

Hits

-6%

2B

-8%

3B

-52%

K

+2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

73°

Wind

8 320°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:16 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.