Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
ETHAN SALAS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
ETHAN
SALAS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Gerrit Cole · RHP
92.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
76
VS
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.04
K%
28%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 96.4 | 90.9 |
| Barrel% | 50% | 6% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 47% |
| xwOBA | .497 | .355 |
| xSLG | .866 | .475 |
| Whiff% | 43% | 22% |
| Chase% | 29% | 32% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
96.4 avg EV · 50.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Cole—
Tonight's Park
HR
+5%
Hits
-3%
2B
-4%
3B
-45%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
91°
Wind
16 336°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:49 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game