Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ezequiel Tovar
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
61
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Grayson Rodriguez · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
ERA
6.11
WHIP
1.36
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.3
93.5
Barrel%
12.5%
8.3%
Hard Hit%
39%
67%
xwOBA
.400
.264
xSLG
.606
.381
Whiff%
26%
20%
Chase%
43%
26%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Grayson Rodriguez.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.3
Barrel%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
39%
Sweet Spot%
33%
xwOBA
0.400
xSLG
0.606
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
74%
14/19 games
Last 30
74%
14/19 games
AVG
.256
OBP
.293
SLG
.487
OPS
.780
HR
3
RBI
7
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 5/31 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | San Francisco Giants | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Ezequiel Tovar
Colorado Rockies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.8 mph
Avg LA
14.0°
Hard-hit %
35%
Barrel %
19%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
0Double
8Single
20Out
71Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.