Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
FRANCISCO LINDOR
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
FRANCISCO
LINDOR
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
59
Grade C
Matchup
VS Matthew Boyd · LHP
86.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
58
VS
ERA
6.00
WHIP
1.29
K%
31%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 91.4 | 87.8 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 17% |
| Hard Hit% | 40% | 47% |
| xwOBA | .158 | .379 |
| xSLG | .190 | .498 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 20% |
| Chase% | 60% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
91.4 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 40% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Boyd—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
73°
Wind
15 169°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-1%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:24 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game