Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Freddy Fermin
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
26
F
Tonight's Matchup
vs Aaron Nola · RHP
ERA
4.71
WHIP
1.15
K%
20%
Velo
84.9
Whiff%
29%
xwOBA-a
.297
Career vs Aaron Nola: 4 PA · Low sample
AB
4
AVG
.250
OPS
.500
HR
0
H
1
K
2
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.1
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
14%
Sweet Spot%
28%
xwOBA
0.187
xSLG
0.234
Recent Games
Last 5
0%
0/5 games
Last 10
10%
1/10 games
Last 20
17%
3/18 games
Last 30
17%
3/18 games
AVG
.036
OBP
.156
SLG
.036
OPS
.192
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Washington Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Philadelphia Phillies | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Philadelphia Phillies | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Athletics | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/15 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/14 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Freddy Fermin
San Diego Padres · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.2 mph
Avg LA
11.6°
Hard-hit %
29%
Barrel %
5%
Outcomes (56 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
4Single
9Out
43Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

