Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
GABRIEL GONZALEZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
GABRIEL
GONZALEZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Anthony Kay · LHP
90.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
14
VS
ERA
4.27
WHIP
1.29
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.6 | 86.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 12% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .099 | .368 |
| xSLG | .117 | .557 |
| Whiff% | 40% | 25% |
| Chase% | 54% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.6 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Kay—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
11 13°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+13%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:08 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game