Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Gabriel Hughes
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers · Pitcher
ERA 0.00 · WHIP 1.00 · K 9% · 1 starts

GABRIEL HUGHES
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

GABRIEL
HUGHES
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS LAD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
58
projected lineup
VS
ERA
0.00
WHIP
1.00
K%
9%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .324 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 22% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.0
K/GM
3.0
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
1.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
9% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 22% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 9% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAD—
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
4 217°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 2:08 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
