Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Gabriel Moreno
Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
MG Score
65
B-
Tonight's Matchup
67
Matchup
Plus matchup
vs Eric Lauer · LHP · 86.6 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.85
WHIP
1.27
K%
13%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.5
85.7
Barrel%
13.3%
17.6%
Hard Hit%
42%
29%
xwOBA
.417
.368
xSLG
.605
.554
Whiff%
16%
11%
Chase%
32%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Eric Lauer.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.5
Barrel%
13.3%
Hard Hit%
42%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.417
xSLG
0.605
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
56%
10/18 games
Last 30
56%
10/18 games
AVG
.250
OBP
.351
SLG
.375
OPS
.726
HR
1
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Seattle Mariners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Seattle Mariners | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/19 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Gabriel Moreno
Arizona Diamondbacks · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.0 mph
Avg LA
16.0°
Hard-hit %
45%
Barrel %
21%
Outcomes (67 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
0Double
7Single
15Out
43Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.