GAGE JUMP

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

GAGE

JUMP

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam42%96 mph

Slider20%87 mph

Changeup14%87 mph

Sinker12%95 mph

Curveball7%81 mph

Sweeper5%83 mph

Matchup

VS TEX LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

45

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

6.14

WHIP

1.74

K%

25%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	9.8%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.380	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	31%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.8

K/GM

5.1

IP/GM

6.39

ERA

1.62

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

25% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 31% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 6.39 ERA · 25% K

1

7

8

5

7

5

11

1

3

9

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TEX—

Tonight's Park

HR

+15%

Hits

-1%

2B

-4%

3B

-21%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:01 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.