Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Garrett Stubbs
Philadelphia Phillies · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies · in lineup
Tonight's Matchup
59
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Randy Vásquez · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
ERA
3.23
WHIP
1.14
K%
12%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
62.2
93.3
Barrel%
0.0%
18.2%
Hard Hit%
33%
50%
xwOBA
.341
.606
xSLG
.404
.995
Whiff%
38%
12%
Chase%
45%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Randy Vásquez.
Tonight's Park · Citizens Bank Park
Big HR parkHR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
62.2
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
33%
Sweet Spot%
67%
xwOBA
0.341
xSLG
0.404
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
30%
3/10 games
Last 30
30%
3/10 games
AVG
.235
OBP
.278
SLG
.235
OPS
.513
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/15 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/7 | Athletics | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/4 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/2 | Miami Marlins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/30 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 4/25 | Atlanta Braves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/24 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/23 | Chicago Cubs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Garrett Stubbs
Philadelphia Phillies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.0 mph
Avg LA
10.6°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (14 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
4Out
10Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/7/2026 - 5/7/2026
Games: 1
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
0Exit Velo
0.0 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
0.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
50.0%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.000
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
0.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: No standout metrics
Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
N/A
Launch Angle
N/A
xBA
N/A
xSLG
N/A
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
N/A
Fly Ball%
N/A
Line Drive%
N/A
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.