Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
George Klassen
Los Angeles Angels · Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels · Pitcher
ERA 7.27 · WHIP 2.88 · K 17% · 3 starts

GEORGE KLASSEN
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
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GEORGE
KLASSEN
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam45%96 mph
Slider31%91 mph
Matchup
VS TEX LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
64
projected lineup
VS
ERA
7.27
WHIP
2.88
K%
17%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 27% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 23% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .268 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 8% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.0
K/GM
2.9
IP/GM
7.27
ERA
2.88
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
17% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 8% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 3 starts
0 of 3 starts over
Last 5: 7.27 ERA · 17% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TEX—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
9 216°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:44 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
