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Odds updated 11:44 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

George Klassen

Los Angeles Angels · Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels · Pitcher

ERA 7.27 · WHIP 2.88 · K 17% · 3 starts

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GEORGE KLASSEN
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K
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Win
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ER
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H
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George Klassen
GEORGE
KLASSEN
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam45%96 mph
Slider31%91 mph
Matchup
VS TEX LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
64
Average
projected lineup
VS
ERA
7.27
WHIP
2.88
K%
17%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%27%25%
SwStr%12.0%11%
Chase%23%28%
xwOBA-a.268.315
Barrel%-a0%8%
HardHit%-a8%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
3.0
K/GM
2.9
IP/GM
7.27
ERA
2.88
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
17% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 8% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 3 starts
0 of 3 starts over
Last 5: 7.27 ERA · 17% K
4
2
3
Season
Home
Last 5
vs TEX
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
9 216°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:44 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.