Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
GLEYBER TORRES
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
GLEYBER
TORRES
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
73
Grade B
Matchup
VS David Peterson · LHP
88.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
94
VS
ERA
7.33
WHIP
1.77
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 74.9 | 91.1 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 21% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 57% |
| xwOBA | .791 | .449 |
| xSLG | .937 | .648 |
| Whiff% | 29% | 22% |
| Chase% | 25% | 16% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
74.9 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Peterson1
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
12 331°
Rain
23%
HR Adj
+9%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:28 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game