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Gordon Graceffo
St. Louis Cardinals · Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.57 · WHIP 1.14 · K 18% · 10 starts
GORDON GRACEFFO
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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GORDON
GRACEFFO
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Slider38%86 mph
4-Seam34%95 mph
Changeup16%88 mph
Matchup
VS BAL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
49
VS
ERA
2.57
WHIP
1.14
K%
18%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.8% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .282 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 40% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.4
K/GM
1.1
IP/GM
1.69
ERA
1.13
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
18% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 1.69 ERA · 9% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs BAL—
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
+3%
2B
+3%
3B
-6%
K
-9%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
8 345°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 3:25 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.