Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Grayson Rodriguez
Los Angeles Angels · Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 5.24 · WHIP 1.39 · K 20% · 10 starts
GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
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GRAYSON
RODRIGUEZ
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam54%96 mph
Changeup27%83 mph
Slider14%85 mph
Curveball5%81 mph
Matchup
VS CLE LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
5.24
WHIP
1.39
K%
20%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 25% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .341 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 12% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 32% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.2
K/GM
4.8
IP/GM
3.00
ERA
1.13
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
20% season K rate
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 32% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 3.00 ERA · 27% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CLE—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
93°
Wind
8 284°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+19%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:01 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.