Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
GRIFFIN CONINE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
GRIFFIN
CONINE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
66
Grade B-
Matchup
VS Kumar Rocker · RHP
88.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
74
VS
ERA
5.25
WHIP
1.46
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 74.6 | 88.7 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 14% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 45% |
| xwOBA | .099 | .389 |
| xSLG | .111 | .572 |
| Whiff% | 43% | 21% |
| Chase% | 67% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
74.6 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rocker—
Tonight's Park
HR
-7%
Hits
+5%
2B
+8%
3B
+6%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:28 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game