Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Gunnar Henderson
Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
59
C
Tonight's Matchup
47
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Connelly Early · LHP · 89.1 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.10
K%
24%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.1
92.0
Barrel%
9.1%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
43%
44%
xwOBA
.364
.387
xSLG
.534
.536
Whiff%
19%
19%
Chase%
37%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Connelly Early: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.333
OPS
1.667
HR
1
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.1
Barrel%
9.1%
Hard Hit%
43%
Sweet Spot%
27%
xwOBA
0.364
xSLG
0.534
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
56%
14/25 games
AVG
.279
OBP
.326
SLG
.535
OPS
.861
HR
3
RBI
8
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Toronto Blue Jays | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Gunnar Henderson
Baltimore Orioles · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.0 mph
Avg LA
10.5°
Hard-hit %
46%
Barrel %
9%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
7Single
17Out
71Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.