HAGEN SMITH

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

HAGEN

SMITH

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam50%94 mph

Slider33%83 mph

Cutter13%89 mph

Matchup

VS PIT LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

68

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

0.56

WHIP

0.94

K%

37%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	35%	25%
SwStr%	15.3%	11%
Chase%	32%	28%
xwOBA-a	.337	.315
Barrel%-a	12%	8%
HardHit%-a	35%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.6

K/GM

2.0

IP/GM

0.00

ERA

0.80

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

37% season K rate

Contact Suppression

12% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 35% K

3

3

1

3

3

1

2

3

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs PIT—

Tonight's Park

HR

-5%

Hits

-2%

2B

-9%

3B

-28%

K

+1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

73°

Wind

7 81°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+5%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 8:09 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.