HAYDEN WESNESKI

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

HAYDEN

WESNESKI

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sweeper29%81 mph

4-Seam24%93 mph

Cutter17%90 mph

Sinker15%92 mph

Changeup14%87 mph

Matchup

VS ATL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

76

Great

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.70

WHIP

1.13

K%

19%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	19%	25%
SwStr%	9.1%	11%
Chase%	34%	28%
xwOBA-a	.294	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	41%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

5.2

IP/GM

2.42

ERA

0.96

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

19% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 41% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 9 starts

0 of 9 starts over

Last 5: 2.42 ERA · 19% K

4

4

4

6

4

6

5

3

2

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs ATL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

0%

2B

-4%

3B

-14%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

89°

Wind

8 128°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-4%

K Adj

-0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 1:13 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.