Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
HÉCTOR RODRÍGUEZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
HÉCTOR
RODRÍGUEZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Jacob Lopez · LHP
84.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
38
VS
ERA
5.17
WHIP
1.50
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 71.6 | 86.7 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 0% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 29% |
| xwOBA | .517 | .301 |
| xSLG | .602 | .375 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 37% |
| Chase% | 25% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
71.6 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Lopez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
82°
Wind
4 1°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-15%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:30 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game