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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
HÉCTOR RODRÍGUEZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Héctor Rodríguez
HÉCTOR
RODRÍGUEZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
38
Grade F
Exit Velo87.0Barrel%8%Hard Hit%35%xwOBA.345Sweet Spot%30%Whiff%27%Chase%41%
Matchup
VS Clay Holmes · RHP
87.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
35
Bad
VS
ERA
3.56
WHIP
1.26
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo87.089.0
Barrel%8%8%
Hard Hit%35%38%
xwOBA.345.312
xSLG.507.418
Whiff%27%24%
Chase%41%33%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.0 avg EV · 7.9% barrel · 35% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Holmes—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
5 55°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
-16%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:37 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game