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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Henry Bolte

Athletics · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs

MG Score
45
D

Tonight's Matchup

48
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Jameson Taillon · RHP · 87.0 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
5.76
WHIP
1.25
K%
18%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.2
87.4
Barrel%
10.3%
20.0%
Hard Hit%
49%
40%
xwOBA
.276
.424
xSLG
.369
.697
Whiff%
27%
26%
Chase%
26%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jameson Taillon.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
90.2
Barrel%
10.3%
Hard Hit%
49%
Sweet Spot%
21%
xwOBA
0.276
xSLG
0.369

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
59%
10/17 games
Last 30
59%
10/17 games
AVG
.308
OBP
.400
SLG
.346
OPS
.746
HR
0
RBI
2
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31New York Yankees1000000
5/30New York Yankees4000030
5/29New York Yankees4300000
5/27Seattle Mariners4100010
5/26Seattle Mariners0000001
5/25Seattle Mariners4100010
5/24San Diego Padres3101110
5/23San Diego Padres3000110
5/22San Diego Padres3201100
5/21Los Angeles Angels0000101

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Henry Bolte
Athletics · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.0 mph
Avg LA
4.6°
Hard-hit %
50%
Barrel %
6%
Outcomes (16 balls)
Home Run
0
Triple
0
Double
1
Single
6
Out
9
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.