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MLB / Research
Hunter Brown
Houston Astros · Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.00 · WHIP 1.18 · K 29% · 10 starts
HUNTER BROWN
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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HUNTER
BROWN
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker32%96 mph
4-Seam26%96 mph
Knuckle-Curve18%84 mph
Slider12%91 mph
Changeup8%87 mph
Matchup
VS ATL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
80
VS
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.18
K%
29%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 25% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 31% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .294 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 9% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
7.6
K/GM
5.7
IP/GM
2.86
ERA
1.27
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
29% season K rate
Contact Suppression
9% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.86 ERA · 33% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs ATL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
90°
Wind
3 162°
Rain
85%
HR Adj
-10%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 7:24 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.