HUNTER BROWN

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

HUNTER

BROWN

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam47%96 mph

Knuckle-Curve22%83 mph

Matchup

VS TOR LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

91

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

1.10

WHIP

1.04

K%

38%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	31%	25%
SwStr%	12.0%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.321	.315
Barrel%-a	9%	8%
HardHit%-a	36%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

8.0

K/GM

5.4

IP/GM

1.10

ERA

1.04

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

38% season K rate

Contact Suppression

9% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 3 starts

0 of 3 starts over

Last 5: 1.10 ERA · 38% K

9

8

7

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TOR—

Tonight's Park

HR

0%

Hits

-2%

2B

+9%

3B

-31%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 1:27 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.