Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Hunter Feduccia
Tampa Bay Rays · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
MG Score
44
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Jack Flaherty · RHP · 87.9 mph avg
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.19
K%
30%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
85.4
92.8
Barrel%
11.5%
21.4%
Hard Hit%
35%
50%
xwOBA
.376
.369
xSLG
.536
.525
Whiff%
23%
40%
Chase%
33%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jack Flaherty.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
85.4
Barrel%
11.5%
Hard Hit%
35%
Sweet Spot%
35%
xwOBA
0.376
xSLG
0.536
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
47%
14/30 games
AVG
.304
OBP
.333
SLG
.478
OPS
.812
HR
1
RBI
2
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Baltimore Orioles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Baltimore Orioles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Baltimore Orioles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/16 | Miami Marlins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/15 | Miami Marlins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Hunter Feduccia
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.4 mph
Avg LA
15.1°
Hard-hit %
26%
Barrel %
6%
Outcomes (35 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
2Single
10Out
23Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.