Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Isaac Collins
Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds
MG Score
46
D
Tonight's Matchup
66
Matchup
Plus matchup
vs Andrew Abbott · LHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.48
WHIP
1.05
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.7
93.9
Barrel%
11.1%
21.1%
Hard Hit%
44%
53%
xwOBA
.343
.516
xSLG
.455
.834
Whiff%
26%
19%
Chase%
20%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Andrew Abbott: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.7
Barrel%
11.1%
Hard Hit%
44%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.343
xSLG
0.455
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
45%
10/22 games
AVG
.194
OBP
.306
SLG
.258
OPS
.564
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Cincinnati Reds | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | New York Yankees | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | New York Yankees | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Seattle Mariners | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Isaac Collins
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.5 mph
Avg LA
19.4°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (95 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
6Single
23Out
63Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.