Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Isaac Paredes
Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
56
C
Tonight's Matchup
52
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Bubba Chandler · RHP · 94.8 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.57
K%
24%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
85.8
90.3
Barrel%
12.2%
17.6%
Hard Hit%
30%
41%
xwOBA
.329
.432
xSLG
.460
.641
Whiff%
15%
18%
Chase%
26%
36%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Bubba Chandler.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
85.8
Barrel%
12.2%
Hard Hit%
30%
Sweet Spot%
41%
xwOBA
0.329
xSLG
0.460
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
61%
14/23 games
AVG
.206
OBP
.289
SLG
.382
OPS
.672
HR
1
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Milwaukee Brewers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Isaac Paredes
Houston Astros · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.8 mph
Avg LA
23.3°
Hard-hit %
26%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
4Single
21Out
70Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.