Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Iván Herrera
St. Louis Cardinals · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
51
C-
Tonight's Matchup
52
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Nathan Eovaldi · RHP · 87.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.78
K%
26%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.9
86.9
Barrel%
12.7%
15.8%
Hard Hit%
38%
32%
xwOBA
.376
.421
xSLG
.525
.685
Whiff%
19%
27%
Chase%
32%
27%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Nathan Eovaldi.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.9
Barrel%
12.7%
Hard Hit%
38%
Sweet Spot%
34%
xwOBA
0.376
xSLG
0.525
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
73%
16/22 games
AVG
.257
OBP
.350
SLG
.486
OPS
.836
HR
2
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Iván Herrera
St. Louis Cardinals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.3 mph
Avg LA
9.8°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
19%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
8Single
26Out
61Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.