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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Jac Caglianone

Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds · in lineup

MG Score
56
C

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
92.8
Barrel%
26.7%
Hard Hit%
62%
Sweet Spot%
37%
xwOBA
0.443
xSLG
0.661

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
59%
16/27 games
AVG
.194
OBP
.256
SLG
.194
OPS
.451
HR
0
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Texas Rangers3100110
5/30Texas Rangers5100020
5/29Texas Rangers4100020
5/27New York Yankees3000020
5/26New York Yankees4100010
5/25New York Yankees2000110
5/24Seattle Mariners3000100
5/23Seattle Mariners4101021
5/22Seattle Mariners4000010
5/20Boston Red Sox4200020

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Jac Caglianone
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
94.6 mph
Avg LA
6.5°
Hard-hit %
58%
Barrel %
25%
Outcomes (99 balls)
Home Run
6
Triple
1
Double
7
Single
22
Out
63
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.