Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jack Perkins
Athletics · Athletics vs Seattle Mariners · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 7.04 · WHIP 1.75 · K 24% · 11 starts

JACK PERKINS
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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JACK
PERKINS
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sweeper30%86 mph
Cutter25%92 mph
4-Seam20%95 mph
Changeup14%89 mph
Matchup
VS SEA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
7.04
WHIP
1.75
K%
24%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 23% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .347 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 36% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.8
K/GM
4.3
IP/GM
4.57
ERA
1.85
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
24% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.57 ERA · 23% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SEA—
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
-12%
2B
-15%
3B
-35%
K
+18%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 3:55 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
