Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JACKSON HOLLIDAY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JACKSON
HOLLIDAY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
37
Grade F
Matchup
VS Tanner Gordon · RHP
89.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
30
VS
ERA
4.66
WHIP
1.34
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 84.8 | 89.7 |
| Barrel% | 4% | 10% |
| Hard Hit% | 30% | 41% |
| xwOBA | .311 | .342 |
| xSLG | .425 | .498 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 16% |
| Chase% | 30% | 40% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
84.8 avg EV · 3.7% barrel · 30% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Gordon—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+16%
2B
+17%
3B
+103%
K
-8%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
9 60°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+1%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:06 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game