Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jacob deGrom
Texas Rangers · Athletics vs Texas Rangers · Pitcher
ERA 5.29 · WHIP 1.45 · K 29% · 10 starts

JACOB DEGROM
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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JACOB
DEGROM
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam43%98 mph
Slider36%92 mph
Changeup11%90 mph
Curveball6%81 mph
Matchup
VS OAK LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
48
projected lineup
VS
ERA
5.29
WHIP
1.45
K%
29%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 30% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 13.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 30% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .396 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.4
K/GM
4.0
IP/GM
7.20
ERA
1.80
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
29% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 7.20 ERA · 29% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs OAK—
Tonight's Park
HR
+15%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
-21%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:41 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
