JACOB LOPEZ

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

JACOB

LOPEZ

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Slider38%75 mph

4-Seam30%90 mph

Cutter25%86 mph

Changeup7%81 mph

Matchup

VS BAL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

3.93

WHIP

1.17

K%

29%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	29%	25%
SwStr%	14.5%	11%
Chase%	33%	28%
xwOBA-a	.313	.315
Barrel%-a	12%	8%
HardHit%-a	25%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

7.0

K/GM

5.8

IP/GM

2.48

ERA

0.97

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

29% season K rate

Contact Suppression

12% barrel · 25% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 2.48 ERA · 30% K

3

4

1

6

4

8

9

5

6

9

6

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs BAL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

+3%

2B

+5%

3B

0%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

78°

Wind

4 244°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:40 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.