Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jake Bennett
Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees · Pitcher
ERA 3.26 · WHIP 1.02 · K 20% · 10 starts

JAKE BENNETT
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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JAKE
BENNETT
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam34%93 mph
Changeup28%84 mph
Sinker20%92 mph
Sweeper11%80 mph
Matchup
VS NYY LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.26
WHIP
1.02
K%
20%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .357 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 18% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.6
K/GM
5.6
IP/GM
4.50
ERA
1.18
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
20% season K rate
Contact Suppression
18% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 4.50 ERA · 24% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs NYY—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
12 233°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+13%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:00 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
